EIGF: An Explainable Graph Neural Network Fusion Approach for Fraud Risk Detection in Insurance Claims
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.6911/Keywords:
Insurance fraud, Medicare claims, graph neural networks, GraphSAGE, explainable artificial intelligence, class imbalance, evidence fusion.Abstract
Screening insurance claims for fraud poses three difficulties at once. Positives are scarce, the entities under review are linked to one another, and every alert consumes investigator time, so a workable system has to rank well and show its evidence. We describe EIGF, an Explainable Insurance Graph Fusion framework in which a tabular risk prior is corrected by relational signal from a GraphSAGE branch. The data are public Medicare provider records released under CC BY 4.0. We collapse 558,211 inpatient and outpatient claims into 60 leakage-controlled provider features covering 5,410 providers, 506 of whom carry a potential-fraud label. Shared beneficiaries and shared physicians give rise to two provider graphs, each built with inverse-entity-degree weighting followed by top-k pruning. Class-weighted focal loss trains the graph branch; a balanced histogram gradient-boosting branch captures nonlinear tabular risk. A convex weight, tuned on validation precision-recall area under the curve (PR-AUC) alone, mixes the two probabilities and lets the model back away from noisy graph propagation when that helps. Over five stratified 60/20/20 splits EIGF reaches a test PR-AUC of 0.7211±0.0358, ROC-AUC of 0.9464±0.0114, F1 of 0.6554±0.0287, and recall of 0.7663±0.0429. Mean PR-AUC gains are 0.0102 over histogram gradient boosting and 0.0103 over GraphSAGE. Against the graph branch the gain holds on every split (one-sided exact Wilcoxon p=0.03125); against the tabular branch the direction is consistent, but five splits cannot settle it. Our explanation package draws on SHAP, integrated gradients, relation ablation, neighborhood evidence, and a masking-based fidelity test. Zeroing the five highest-ranked features cuts the mean risk probability of high-confidence fraudulent providers by 0.3839, against 0.0549±0.0727 for random five-feature masks. Two further findings matter for practice: beneficiary-sharing edges carry more information than physician-sharing edges, and on some splits the edges hurt. Unconditional message passing is therefore the wrong default, and reliability-aware fusion the safer one. Every value reported here comes from the accompanying executable code and its saved experiment outputs.
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